National League | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Dwight Yorke Stadium

York City
1 - 1
Oldham

Felix (32')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Raglan (71')
Sutton (60'), Yoganathan (74'), Pritchard (78')

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 1-3 York City
Friday, April 18 at 12.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Oldham Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Oldham 2-1 Hartlepool
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 17.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
York City	Draw	Oldham Athletic
61.08% ( -0.11)	21.51% ( 0.05)	17.41% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 51.87% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.79% (

-0.09)

45.21% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.45% (

-0.09)

67.55% (

0.09)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.69% (

-0.06)

14.31% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.87% (

-0.13)

42.13% (

0.13)

Oldham Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.53% (

0.02)

39.47% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.84% (

0.02)

76.16% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

York City 61.07%

Oldham Athletic 17.41%

Draw 21.5%

York City	Draw	Oldham Athletic
1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 61.07%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.5%	0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 17.41%