National League | Gameweek 43

Apr 18, 2025 at 12.30pm UK

Gateshead International Stadium

Gateshead
1 - 3
York City

Hannant (11')
Richardson (17'), Grayson (37'), Booty (47')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nathaniel-George (37'), Luamba (74'), Fagan-Walcott (85')
Hunt (71')

Coverage of the National League clash between Gateshead and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Forest Green 2-3 Gateshead
Saturday, April 12 at 5.30pm in National League

Goals
for

York City

All competitions

Last Game: York City 7-2 Aldershot
Saturday, April 12 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 37.69% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
Gateshead	Draw	York City
37.69% ( 0.85)	24% ( 0.22)	38.3% ( -1.08)

Both teams to score 61.47% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.13% (

-1.04)

40.87% (

1.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.74% (

-1.07)

63.26% (

1.07)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25% (

-0.04)

21.74% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.07% (

-0.06)

54.92% (

0.05)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.55% (

-0.97)

21.45% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.53% (

-1.52)

54.46% (

1.51)

Score Analysis

Gateshead 37.7%

York City 38.3%

Draw 24%

Gateshead	Draw	York City
2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.7%	1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.27% Total : 24%	1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.3%