Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 37.69% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | York City |
37.69% (![]() | 24% (![]() | 38.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.47% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.13% (![]() | 40.87% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.74% (![]() | 63.26% (![]() |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.25% (![]() | 21.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.07% (![]() | 54.92% (![]() |
York City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.55% (![]() | 21.45% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.53% (![]() | 54.46% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | York City |
2-1 @ 8.36% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.12% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.43% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.05% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 10.95% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.68% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 8.43% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 46 | 31 | 9 | 6 | 97 | 38 | 59 | 102 |
2 | York City | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 95 | 42 | 53 | 96 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 22 | 17 | 7 | 69 | 42 | 27 | 83 |
4 | Rochdale | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 69 | 44 | 25 | 74 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 64 | 48 | 16 | 73 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 50 | 46 | 4 | 70 |
7 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 17 | 17 | 12 | 59 | 48 | 11 | 68 |
8 | Gateshead | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 76 | 68 | 8 | 67 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 68 | 62 | 6 | 64 |
10 | Tamworth | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 72 | -7 | 64 |
11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 59 | 62 | -3 | 60 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 59 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61 | 67 | -6 | 58 |
15 | Woking | 46 | 13 | 19 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 58 |
16 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 69 | 83 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Braintree TownBraintree | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 56 |
18 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 51 | 60 | -9 | 56 |
19 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 55 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 56 | 76 | -20 | 53 |
21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 61 | 62 | -1 | 52 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 57 | 75 | -18 | 52 |
23 | Fylde | 46 | 11 | 7 | 28 | 50 | 85 | -35 | 40 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 38 | 98 | -60 | 22 |
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