National League | Gameweek 40

Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Hive Stadium

Barnet
3 - 1
Gateshead

Kenlock (10'), Stead (40', 90+6')
Evans (83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Malcolm (82')
Newton (32'), Horton (38')

Coverage of the National League clash between Barnet and Gateshead.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 0-1 Barnet
Saturday, March 22 at 5.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 0-2 Tamworth
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 61.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 17.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Gateshead win it was 1-2 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
Barnet	Draw	Gateshead
61.45% ( -0.36)	20.67% ( 0.14)	17.87% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 55.63% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.32% (

-0.28)

40.68% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.93% (

-0.29)

63.06% (

0.29)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.24% (

-0.19)

12.75% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.97% (

-0.39)

39.02% (

0.39)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76% (

0.08)

36.24% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.97% (

0.08)

73.02% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Barnet 61.45%

Gateshead 17.87%

Draw 20.67%

Barnet	Draw	Gateshead
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.53% Total : 61.45%	1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.67%	1-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 17.87%