Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 51.1%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Barnet |
| 25.59% ( | 23.31% ( | 51.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.93% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.07% ( | 42.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.67% ( | 65.33% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.69% ( | 30.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.51% ( | 66.49% ( |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.12% ( | 16.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.1% ( | 46.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 1-0 @ 6.11% ( 2-0 @ 3.65% ( 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.3% ( 3-0 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 3.03% Total : 25.59% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.3% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0-1 @ 9.1% ( 0-2 @ 8.1% ( 1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0-3 @ 4.8% ( 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 1-4 @ 2.55% ( 0-4 @ 2.14% ( 2-4 @ 1.52% ( 1-5 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.1% |