Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Yeovil Town win was 1-0 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for York City in this match.