National League | Gameweek 42

Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK

Dwight Yorke Stadium

York City
7 - 2
Aldershot

Pearce (3', 45+2', 84'), Richardson (9', 17'), Stones (70'), Howe (75')
John (44'), Sinclair (56')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Barham (21'), Thomas (45+1')
Woodhouse (54'), Widdrington (57')
Hargreaves (55')

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Last Game: Fylde 1-3 York City
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 1-2 Boston
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 63.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
York City	Draw	Aldershot Town
63.52% ( 0.03)	20.05% ( -0)	16.42% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.68% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.56% (

-0.01)

40.43% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.19% (

-0.02)

62.81% (

0.02)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

12.1% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.35% (

0.01)

37.65% (

-0)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.21% (

-0.03)

37.79% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.43% (

-0.03)

74.57% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

York City 63.52%

Aldershot Town 16.42%

Draw 20.05%

York City	Draw	Aldershot Town
2-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.99% 4-0 @ 3.79% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 63.52%	1-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.05%	1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 16.42%