Aldershot Town
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Hartlepool United
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Yeovil Town
National League | Gameweek 42
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
Dwight Yorke Stadium
Aldershot Town

York City
7 - 2
Aldershot

Pearce (3', 45+2', 84'), Richardson (9', 17'), Stones (70'), Howe (75')
John (44'), Sinclair (56')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Barham (21'), Thomas (45+1')
Woodhouse (54'), Widdrington (57')
Hargreaves (55')
Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions
Last Game: Fylde 1-3 York City
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in National League

Aldershot Town

All competitions
Last Game: Aldershot 1-2 Boston
Tuesday, April 8 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 63.52%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
York CityDrawAldershot Town
63.52% (0.027000000000001 0.03)20.05% (-0.004999999999999 -0)16.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.68% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.56% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)40.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)62.81% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)12.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)37.65% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.21% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)37.79% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.43% (-0.032 -0.03)74.57% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Score Analysis
    York City 63.52%
    Aldershot Town 16.42%
    Draw 20.05%
York CityDrawAldershot Town
2-0 @ 10.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 9.66% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.18% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.99%
4-0 @ 3.79% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 63.52%
1-1 @ 9.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.05%
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-1 @ 4.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 2.16% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 16.42%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Aldershot
0-0
York City
Maghoma (35'), Menayese (75')
Felix (80')
Mar 16, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
York City
1-0
Aldershot
John-Lewis (90')
Latty-Fairweather (15'), John-Lewis (90')

Rowe (42'), Stokes (67'), O'Keefe (71'), Harries (86')
Aug 19, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Aldershot
1-1
York City
Jones (41')
Harries (45+7'), Thomas (60'), Jones (66'), Frost (79')
John-Lewis (90+3')
Andoh (74'), Cordner (83')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
York City
2-2
Aldershot
John-Lewis (56' pen.), Jordan (70' og.)
Mnoga (16'), Frost (90+1')
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Aldershot
2-1
York City
Cordner (6'), Willard (78')
John-Lewis (60')