National League | Gameweek 40

Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK

Dwight Yorke Stadium

York City
3 - 0
Wealdstone

Fagan-Walcott (45+2'), Stones (64'), Pearce (67' pen.)
Richardson (22')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Wealdstone.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Last Game: Rochdale 0-4 York City
Tuesday, March 25 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 1-3 Aldershot
Tuesday, March 25 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 67.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 13.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
York City	Draw	Wealdstone
67.17% ( 0.29)	19.29% ( -0.11)	13.54% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 50% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.02% (

0.06)

42.98% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.62% (

0.05)

65.38% (

-0.06)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.15% (

0.1)

11.84% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.89% (

0.21)

37.11% (

-0.2)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.72% (

-0.24)

43.28% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.47% (

-0.2)

79.53% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

York City 67.16%

Wealdstone 13.54%

Draw 19.29%

York City	Draw	Wealdstone
2-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 67.16%	1-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.91% Total : 19.29%	0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.4% Total : 13.54%