Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 67.17%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Wealdstone had a probability of 13.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Wealdstone win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.