National League | Gameweek 36

Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

The Lamb Ground

Tamworth
4 - 1
Wealdstone

Tshikuna (51', 54' pen.), Creaney (71'), Fletcher (90+4')
Crompton (59'), Hollis (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Georgiou (90+7')
Eastmond (45+3'), Sohna (53'), Dyer (54'), Ashford (89')
Eastmond (46')

Coverage of the National League clash between Tamworth and Wealdstone.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tamworth

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-3 Tamworth
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 4-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, February 22 at 3.15pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.

Result
Tamworth	Draw	Wealdstone
41.94% ( -0.08)	26.36% ( 0.02)	31.7% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 52.06% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.49% (

-0.05)

52.51% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.82% (

-0.04)

74.18% (

0.04)

Tamworth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.23% (

-0.06)

24.77% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.67% (

-0.08)

59.33% (

0.08)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.2% (

0.02)

30.8% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.93% (

0.02)

67.07% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Tamworth 41.93%

Wealdstone 31.7%

Draw 26.35%

Tamworth	Draw	Wealdstone
1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 41.93%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 3.05% Total : 31.7%