Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Ebbsfleet United
National League | Gameweek 45
Apr 26, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road
Maidenhead United

Ebbsfleet
0 - 2
Maidenhead

FT(HT: 0-0)
McCoulsky (50'), Kiernan (59')
Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Maidenhead United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-4 Southend
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in National League

Maidenhead United

All competitions
Last Game: Wealdstone 1-1 Maidenhead
Monday, April 21 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawMaidenhead United
25.29% (-9.009 -9.01)24.17% (-1.354 -1.35)50.53% (10.361 10.36)
Both teams to score 54.73% (-0.835 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.99% (1.325 1.33)47.01% (-1.326 -1.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.74% (1.223 1.22)69.26% (-1.224 -1.22)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (-5.667 -5.67)32.73% (5.666 5.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (-6.848 -6.85)69.29% (6.846 6.85)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (5.176 5.18)18.63% (-5.177 -5.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.06% (8.038 8.04)49.94% (-8.038 -8.04)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 25.29%
    Maidenhead United 50.53%
    Draw 24.17%
EbbsfleetDrawMaidenhead United
1-0 @ 6.81% (-1.61 -1.61)
2-1 @ 6.39% (-1.506 -1.51)
2-0 @ 3.8% (-1.7 -1.7)
3-1 @ 2.38% (-1.061 -1.06)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.47 -0.47)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.981 -0.98)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 25.29%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.64 -0.64)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.346 -0.35)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 10.24% (0.992 0.99)
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.942 0.94)
0-2 @ 8.61% (1.973 1.97)
1-3 @ 5.39% (1.236 1.24)
0-3 @ 4.82% (1.647 1.65)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.296 0.3)
1-4 @ 2.26% (0.773 0.77)
0-4 @ 2.03% (0.887 0.89)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.29 0.29)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 50.53%

Head to Head
Sep 24, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Maidenhead
2-1
Ebbsfleet
Abrahams (40'), McCoulsky (56' pen.)
Welch-Hayes (88'), Ross (90+3'), Barratt (90+6')
Wright (90+2')
Tanner (47'), Olagunju (69'), Dallison (83')
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Maidenhead
0-1
Ebbsfleet

Massey (43'), Asare (90+3')
Samuel (82')
Tanner (33'), Skura (50')
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Ebbsfleet
1-1
Maidenhead
Poleon (60')
Smith (66')
Golding (17'), De Havilland (45+3'), Beckwith (88')
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 42
Maidenhead
1-3
Ebbsfleet
Mundle-Smith (9')
Kelly (43'), Whitehall (57'), (58')
Umerah (17'), Ugwu (30', 31')
McGlashan (85')
Oct 12, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 19
Ebbsfleet
1-2
Maidenhead
Umerah (19')
Whitehall (21'), Upward (76')
Whitehall (51'), Cassidy (90')