National League | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
0 - 4
Southend

Edser (83'), Harriott (87'), Chapman (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kendall (15'), Coker (63'), Bonne (76'), Walker (90')

Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Dag & Red 1-0 Ebbsfleet
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 0-0 Braintree
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 57.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 19.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 1-0 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result
Ebbsfleet	Draw	Southend United
19.17% ( 0.03)	23.24% ( 0.02)	57.6% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 49.64% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.19% (

-0.03)

49.81% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.19% (

-0.03)

71.81% (

0.02)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.84% (

0.02)

40.16% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.2% (

0.02)

76.8% (

-0.02)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.96% (

-0.03)

17.04% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.8% (

-0.05)

47.19% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Ebbsfleet 19.17%

Southend United 57.58%

Draw 23.23%

Ebbsfleet	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.53% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 2.15% Total : 19.17%	1-1 @ 11.04% 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.23%	0-1 @ 12.1% 0-2 @ 10.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.55% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 57.58%