Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 46.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 1-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-0 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.