Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.