National League | Gameweek 24

Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Roots Hall Stadium

Southend
4 - 0
Ebbsfleet

Coker (7'), Pepple (45+2', 52'), Scott-Morriss (57')
Ralph (45'), Bonne (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Aoraha (49')

Coverage of the National League clash between Southend United and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: York City 3-0 Southend
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-4 Gateshead
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 63.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 15.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result
Southend United	Draw	Ebbsfleet
63.17% ( -0.11)	20.94% ( 0.03)	15.89% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 50.47% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.58% (

-0)

45.41% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.25% (

-0)

67.75% (

-0)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.26% (

-0.03)

13.73% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59% (

-0.06)

41% (

0.06)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.5% (

0.09)

41.5% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22% (

0.08)

77.99% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Southend United 63.17%

Ebbsfleet 15.89%

Draw 20.94%

Southend United	Draw	Ebbsfleet
1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.23% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 63.17%	1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.7% 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.94%	0-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.74% Total : 15.89%