National League | Gameweek 22

Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Hive Stadium

Barnet
4 - 1
Ebbsfleet

Kabamba (10'), Shelton (18'), Browne (27'), Glover (33')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Poleon (85')
Edser (29'), Harriott (60')

Coverage of the National League clash between Barnet and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Barnet
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Fylde 2-0 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 77.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 8.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it was 1-2 (2.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
Barnet	Draw	Ebbsfleet
77.56% ( -0.11)	14.07% ( 0.19)	8.36% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 50.21% (

-1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.95% (

-1.39)

33.04% (

1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.22% (

-1.61)

54.77% (

1.61)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.09% (

-0.32)

6.9% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.65% (

-0.87)

25.35% (

0.87)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.93% (

-1.22)

46.07% (

1.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.22% (

-0.96)

81.77% (

0.96)

Score Analysis

Barnet 77.55%

Ebbsfleet 8.36%

Draw 14.07%

Barnet	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.44) 3-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.14) 6-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.46% Total : 77.55%	1-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.23) Other @ 0.9% Total : 14.07%	1-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 8.36%