Major League Soccer

Apr 6, 2025 at 10pm UK

Earthquakes Stadium

Earthquakes
6 - 1
DC United

Arango (8'), Martinez (16', 81', 90+2'), Espinoza (20' pen.), Pellegrino (89')
Romney (59'), Costa (70')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Benteke (45+2')
Benteke (18'), Bartlett (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-1 Seattle
Sunday, March 30 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

DC United

All competitions

Last Game: DC United 1-2 Columbus Crew
Saturday, March 29 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for DC United had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	DC United
42.38% ( 0.21)	23.52% ( 0.03)	34.09% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 62.7% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.97% (

-0.19)

39.03% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.64% (

-0.2)

61.35% (

0.2)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.21% (

0.01)

18.79% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.79% (

0.02)

50.2% (

-0.02)

DC United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.21% (

-0.22)

22.79% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.5% (

-0.32)

56.49% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 42.38%

DC United 34.09%

Draw 23.51%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	DC United
2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.5% Total : 42.38%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.51%	1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 34.09%