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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 4
May 2, 2021 at 4am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
DC United

Earthquakes
4 - 1
DC United

Lopez (1'), Cowell (26'), Yueill (43', 85')
Marie (35'), Lopez (69'), Remedi (88')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Alfaro (31')
Alfaro (18'), Nyeman (68')

Preview: San Jose Earthquakes vs. DC United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and DC United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

San Jose Earthquakes and DC United square off on Saturday night having both endured mixed starts to the new MLS campaign.

The teams have one win apiece from their opening two games, leaving the clubs in mid-table of the Western Conference and Eastern Conference respectively.


Match preview

San Jose Earthquakes head coach Matias Almeyda during the second half against the Toronto FC at Earthquakes Stadium in February 2020© Reuters

After losing out to Houston Dynamo on matchday one, the Earthquakes were under pressure to deliver an improved performance against Dallas last weekend.

Matias Almeyda's side responded to those demands, running out convincing 3-1 winners with each strike coming during the opening hour of the contest.

Having conceded too many goals at the end of the last campaign, Almeyda will naturally be keen for his side to end a run of five matches without keeping a clean sheet.

Nevertheless, controlling the game with Dallas was a much-needed step in the right direction as they bid to avoid another year spent in mid-table.

Highly-rated 17-year-old Cade Cowell has already chipped in with a goal and an assist this season, increasing expectations that the forward could emerge as the best prospect in the division.

DC United started their campaign with an excellent 2-1 triumph over New York City FC, coming from behind to defeat a team who finished in seventh position in the regular standings in 2020.

While succumbing 1-0 at New England Revolution last weekend came as a blow, Hernan Losada will be satisfied with his team's efforts during the opening double-header.

The Black-and-Red now have successive away trips to the Earthquakes and Columbus Crew, the latter being a team who prevailed in the MLS Playoffs last season.

Although the tough fixtures coming to come thick and fast for Losada's side, he will be optimistic that his side can stay away from the bottom end of the standings throughout this campaign.

San Jose Earthquakes Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • W

DC United Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • L



Team News

DC United celebrate their second goal in the first half against the Montreal Impact at Audi Field in November 2020© Reuters

The Earthquakes will be without Chris Wondolowski after his late dismissal in the last fixture.

With his red card coming after his introduction as a substitute, Almeyda will give consideration to selecting the same starting lineup.

Should Luciano Abecasis pass a late fitness test, he will be kept among the replacements.

Losada is unlikely to make major alterations to his DC United XI at a time that he is having to cope with a mounting injury list.

Donovan Pines and Antonio Alfaro are competing for one spot in the back three, but English youngster Kimarni Smith will likely remain on the bench.

San Jose Earthquakes possible starting lineup:
Marcinkowski; Thompson, Jungwirth, Alanis, Marie; Yueill, Remedi; Espinoza, Lopez, Fierro; Cowell

DC United possible starting lineup:
Seitz; Pines, Brillant, Hines-Ike; Gressel, Canouse, Moreno, Mora; Asad, Flores; Sorga


SM words green background

We say: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 DC United

Despite losing their last game, DC United have, on paper, had the tougher start to the campaign. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to claim all three points at the weekend, withstanding the efforts of opponents who will be on a high after last weekend's victory.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:445252:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect7046:
Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for DC United had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 1-0 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.


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1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
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8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
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Western Conference

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1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
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3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
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5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
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11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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