Major League Soccer

Apr 14, 2025 at 12am UK

CityPark

St Louis City
1 - 2
Columbus Crew

Klauss (7')
Pompeu (39'), Kessler (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Moreira (45+2'), Rossi (55')
Arfsten (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and Columbus Crew, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Louis City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 2-0 St Louis City
Sunday, April 6 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Columbus Crew

All competitions

MLS Playoffs

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Montreal
Sunday, April 6 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.

Result
St Louis City	Draw	Columbus Crew
32.71% ( -0.13)	24.78% ( -0.04)	42.51% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 57.68% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.6% (

0.15)

45.41% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.26% (

0.14)

67.74% (

-0.14)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37% (

-0.01)

26.63% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.14% (

-0.01)

61.86% (

0.01)

Columbus Crew Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.61% (

0.14)

21.4% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.62% (

0.22)

54.39% (

-0.21)

Score Analysis

St Louis City 32.71%

Columbus Crew 42.51%

Draw 24.78%

St Louis City	Draw	Columbus Crew
2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 32.71%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.78%	1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.51%