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Championship | Gameweek 46
May 8, 2023 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo

Watford
2 - 0
Stoke

Louza (70'), Davis (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pearson (51'), Tymon (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Watford
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 QPR
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 1-1 Stoke City

There should not be much between two sides who have underperformed this season in a game with nothing riding on it to finish the campaign. Watford's poor recent results at home may give Stoke belief that they can extend their away unbeaten run here, though. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
36.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 26.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 36.74% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.15% (0.013000000000005 0.01)53.85% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.69% (0.010999999999999 0.01)75.31% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54% (0.013000000000005 0.01)28.46% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.77% (0.019000000000005 0.02)64.22% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)28.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.96% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Watford 36.38%
    Stoke City 36.73%
    Draw 26.87%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 36.38%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.87%
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.4%
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 36.73%

How you voted: Watford vs Stoke

Watford
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Stoke City
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
gameweek 12
Stoke
0-4
Watford

Fosu (14')
Sarr (12'), Sema (64'), Davis (78'), Issouf Bayo (84')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Watford
1-3
Stoke
Fletcher (61')
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
gameweek 10
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford

Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')

Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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