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Europa League
Roma logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Servette

Roma
4 - 0
Servette

Lukaku (21'), Belotti (46', 59'), Pellegrini (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ondoua (70'), Douline (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Servette, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Frosinone
Sunday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Servette

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Servette 2-1 Lausanne
Saturday, September 30 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

We said: Roma 3-1 Servette

 Roma have underwhelmed massively so far, but like in the last two European campaigns, matches on the continent have provided much-needed respite. Servette's start has arguably been even worse, and they are already playing catchup, and another defeat here will make progression seem extremely unlikely even at this early stage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Servette had a probability of 22.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Servette win it was 1-2 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawServette
55.13% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 22.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 22.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.84% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.39% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)42.61% (0.058 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.98% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)65.02% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.65% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)15.35% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.87% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)44.13% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Servette Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)32.85% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)69.42% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Roma 55.13%
    Servette 22.36%
    Draw 22.5%
RomaDrawServette
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 9.45% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.86% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 55.13%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.04% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.5%
1-2 @ 5.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 5.62% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.17%
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 22.36%

How you voted: Roma vs Servette

Roma
88.6%
Draw
9.1%
Servette
2.3%
88
rhs 2.0
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