Bristol City have struggled defensively in their opening two league matches, and we think that the newly-promoted side will be swept aside by the attacking talent at Man City's disposal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 61.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 18.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Bristol City Women win it was 1-2 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City Women	Draw	Bristol City Women
61.28% ( -0.04)	20.27% ( -0.16)	18.44% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 58.2% (

0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.17% (

1.07)

37.83% (

-1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.92% (

1.14)

60.08% (

-1.14)

Manchester City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.07% (

0.32)

11.92% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.71% (

0.67)

37.28% (

-0.67)

Bristol City Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.08% (

0.85)

33.92% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.41% (

0.91)

70.59% (

-0.91)

Score Analysis

Manchester City Women 61.28%

Bristol City Women 18.44%

Draw 20.27%

Manchester City Women	Draw	Bristol City Women
2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.13% Total : 61.28%	1-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.27%	1-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.94% Total : 18.44%