Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 11, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
3 - 2
Union Berlin

Kainz (45' pen.), Tigges (87'), Downs (90+3')
Schmitz (36'), Martel (53'), Huseinbasic (74')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Knoche (15'), Volland (19' pen.)
Khedira (44'), Juranovic (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Freiburg
Saturday, May 4 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-4 VfL Bochum
Sunday, May 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Koln 1-2 Union Berlin

Koln know that they need to claim all three points to have any hopes of taking their survival fight to the final day of the season, but having lost seven of their nine Bundesliga meetings with Union, we think that the hosts could suffer another defeat in Saturday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	Union Berlin
45.18% ( 0.05)	26.24% ( -0.01)	28.58% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 50.9% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.7% (

0.03)

53.29% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.15% (

0.02)

74.84% (

-0.02)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.48% (

0.03)

23.51% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.45% (

0.05)

57.55% (

-0.05)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.54% (

-0.01)

33.46% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.91% (

-0.01)

70.09% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 45.17%

Union Berlin 28.58%

Draw 26.23%

FC Koln	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 45.17%	1-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 28.58%