MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 22:52:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee logo
Hearts logo
Hibs logo
Kilmarnock logo
Livingston logo
Motherwell logo
Rangers logo
Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
Potential new football header

Scottish Premiership
Hearts logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Aberdeen logo

Hearts
2 - 0
Aberdeen

Grant (57' pen.), Shankland (77')
Oda (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Shinnie (31'), Lopes (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Aberdeen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 3-2 Dundee
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Johnstone 1-1 Aberdeen
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-1 Aberdeen

 Naismith will see the upcoming games as a perfect opportunity to extend their gap over fourth even further, with no meetings against the Old Firm for another month. Aberdeen have shown promising signs themselves of late, but they may find it difficult against the most in-form team in the Scottish Premiership here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawAberdeen
47.08% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.05% (0.0030000000000001 0) 28.87% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.18% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.15% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)43.84% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)66.23% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)18.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.82% (-0.012 -0.01)50.18% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (0.00099999999999056 0)28.37% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (0.0010000000000048 0)64.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 47.08%
    Aberdeen 28.87%
    Draw 24.04%
HeartsDrawAberdeen
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 47.08%
1-1 @ 11.22%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.04%
1-2 @ 7.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.78%
1-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 28.87%

How you voted: Hearts vs Aberdeen

Hearts
86.2%
Draw
6.9%
Aberdeen
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Aberdeen
2-1
Hearts
Miovski (53'), Clarkson (90+2')
Gartenmann (59'), Miovski (65'), McGrath (78')
Shankland (20')
Nieuwenhof (33'), Lowry (41'), Baningime (64'), Kent (65'), Rowles (73'), Denholm (88'), Shankland (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Hearts
2-0
Aberdeen
Oda (14'), Boyce (64')
Haring (11'), Kent (30'), Boyce (32'), Atkinson (56')

Clarkson (25'), Rubezic (61')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 36
Hearts
2-1
Aberdeen
Ginnelly (43'), Shankland (56')
Devlin (25')
Pollock (31')
Hayes (11'), Robson (12'), Watkins (25'), Miovski (49'), Ramadani (53')
> Preview
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Aberdeen
3-0
Hearts
Lopes (5', 21'), Pollock (28')
> Preview
Jan 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Hearts
5-0
Aberdeen
Shinnie (15' og.), Smith (28'), Shankland (40' pen.), Ginnelly (45+1'), Devlin (61')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
1Celtic220085275884
2RangersRangers220078255381
3Hearts20114637963
4Kilmarnock20114438652
5St Mirren21014246-446
6Dundee20024659-1341
Relegation Group
1Hibernian21014854-642
2Aberdeen22003749-1241
3Motherwell21015053-340
4Ross County21013459-2533
5St Johnstone20022550-2531
RLivingston21012563-3821
 
First Phase
1Celtic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!