Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
43.15% ( -0.42) | 25.52% ( 0.32) | 31.32% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 54.61% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.85% ( -1.36) | 49.15% ( 1.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.78% ( -1.24) | 71.21% ( 1.23) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.31% ( -0.78) | 22.69% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.65% ( -1.16) | 56.34% ( 1.16) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.63% ( -0.62) | 29.36% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.65% ( -0.76) | 65.34% ( 0.76) |
Score Analysis |
Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 73 | 23 | 50 | 75 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 69 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 63 | 54 | 9 | 55 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 52 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 45 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 45 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 44 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 43 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 42 |
10 | Arbroath | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 35 | 89 | -54 | 23 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |