Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 30

Dec 1, 2024 at 4pm UK

Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
2 - 1
Tromso

Koch (30'), Aron Gudjohnsen (90+2' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Nordas (65')
Haugaard (31')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Tromso IL.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions

Last Game: Rosenborg 1-1 Sarpsborg
Saturday, November 23 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Tromso IL

All competitions

Last Game: Tromso 2-0 Stromsgodset
Saturday, November 23 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Tromso IL had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Tromso IL win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sarpsborg 08 in this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08	Draw	Tromso IL
39.61% ( 0.01)	24.24% ( 0.2)	36.15% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 60.46% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.86% (

-1)

42.14% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.46% (

-1.01)

64.54% (

1.01)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.64% (

-0.43)

21.36% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.66% (

-0.67)

54.34% (

0.67)

Tromso IL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.89% (

-0.57)

23.11% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.03% (

-0.84)

56.97% (

0.84)

Score Analysis

Sarpsborg 08 39.61%

Tromso IL 36.15%

Draw 24.24%

Sarpsborg 08	Draw	Tromso IL
2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 39.61%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.15%