Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 65.67%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 1-0 (7.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Sarpsborg 08 win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.