Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HamKam win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a HamKam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.