Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 64.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for FK Haugesund had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a FK Haugesund win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.