Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KFUM Oslo win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a KFUM Oslo win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.