Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 26
Oct 27, 2024 at 4pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
1 - 2
Viking FK

FT(HT: 1-1)
Salvesen (43'), Stensness (71')
Heggheim (34')
Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and Viking FK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: HamKam 0-2 Sarpsborg
Sunday, October 20 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Viking FK 3-3 Odd
Sunday, October 20 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.83%) and 0-2 (5.46%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawViking FK
33.21% (-0.654 -0.65)22.18% (0.067 0.07)44.61% (0.593 0.59)
Both teams to score 67.49% (-0.51599999999999 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.36% (-0.575 -0.58)32.64% (0.582 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.69% (-0.669 -0.67)54.31% (0.677 0.68)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (-0.599 -0.6)20.27% (0.607 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39% (-0.971 -0.97)52.62% (0.979 0.98)
Viking FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.65% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)15.36% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.88% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)44.13% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 33.21%
    Viking FK 44.61%
    Draw 22.18%
Sarpsborg 08DrawViking FK
2-1 @ 7.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-0 @ 4.97% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.48% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.21%
1-1 @ 9.31% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.96% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.11% (0.096 0.1)
3-3 @ 2.31% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 8.72% (0.1 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.83% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.163 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.45% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 4.35% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.41% (0.1 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.55% (0.027 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.046 0.05)
3-4 @ 1.08% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-5 @ 0.96% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 44.61%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 6.15pm
Gameweek 1
Viking FK
1-0
Sarpsborg
Christiansen (42' og.)
Lunde Aarsheim (37'), Yazbek (42'), Auklend (71')

Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (36')
Nov 12, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 28
Viking FK
2-1
Sarpsborg
Adegbenro (55', 72')
Bell (43')
Zekhnini (15')
Zekhnini (44'), Maigaard (83')
Jun 11, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 10
Sarpsborg
1-3
Viking FK
Maigaard (86')
Junior Martinsson-Ngouali (45+1'), Baah (53')
Tangen (13'), Brekalo (48'), Svendsen (90+2')
Tangen (55'), Gunnarsson (81')
Oct 16, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 26
Viking FK
0-1
Sarpsborg
Heintz (40')
Apr 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 1
Sarpsborg
0-1
Viking FK

Muhammed (90+3')
Tripic (89')
Solbakken (45'), Brekalo (90+3')