Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 28

Nov 12, 2023 at 4pm UK

SR-Bank Arena

Viking FK
2 - 1
Sarpsborg

Adegbenro (55', 72')
Bell (43')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zekhnini (15')
Zekhnini (44'), Maigaard (83')

Coverage of the Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Viking FK and Sarpsborg 08.

Form, Standings, Stats

Viking FK

All competitions

Last Game: HamKam 3-0 Viking FK
Saturday, November 4 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions

Last Game: Sarpsborg 3-2 Valerenga
Sunday, November 5 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.53%) and 3-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (5.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Viking FK in this match.

Result
Viking FK	Draw	Sarpsborg 08
54.01% ( -0.01)	19.2% ( 0.01)	26.78% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 74.68% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.19% (

-0.09)

21.8% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.37% (

-0.12)

40.63% (

0.11)

Viking FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.24% (

-0.03)

8.75% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.92% (

-0.07)

30.08% (

0.07)

Sarpsborg 08 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.84% (

-0.06)

18.15% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.87% (

-0.09)

49.13% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Viking FK 54.01%

Sarpsborg 08 26.78%

Draw 19.2%

Viking FK	Draw	Sarpsborg 08
2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0) 3-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) 5-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.16% Total : 54.01%	2-2 @ 6.86% 1-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 19.2%	1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 26.78%