Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarpsborg 08 win with a probability of 57.91%. A win for Valerenga Fotball had a probability of 21.76% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.52%) and 3-1 (6.94%). The likeliest Valerenga Fotball win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarpsborg 08 would win this match.