Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosenborg win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Sandefjord had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosenborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.04%) and 0-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Sandefjord win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rosenborg would win this match.