Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 14, 2025 at 11pm UK

Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Sportivo
1 - 1
Atletico Grau

Bolivar (39' og.)
Maldonado (17'), Gonzalez (65'), Marchio (73'), Rodriguez (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Martin Rostaing Verastegui (33')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Sportivo Luqueno and Atletico Grau.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sportivo Luqueno

Last Game: Sportivo 0-1 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, May 6 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Atletico Grau

Last Game: Atletico Grau 0-0 Gremio
Thursday, May 8 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Grau win with a probability of 41.86%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 28.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Grau win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 1-0 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Sportivo Luqueno	Draw	Atletico Grau
28.68% ( -1.36)	29.46% ( -0.16)	41.86% ( 1.53)

Both teams to score 42.11% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.55% (

0.1)

64.45% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.49% (

0.07)

83.5% (

-0.07)

Sportivo Luqueno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.55% (

-1.04)

39.44% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.86% (

-0.98)

76.14% (

0.98)

Atletico Grau Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.54% (

0.94)

30.46% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.33% (

1.1)

66.67% (

-1.11)

Score Analysis

Sportivo Luqueno 28.67%

Atletico Grau 41.86%

Draw 29.45%

Sportivo Luqueno	Draw	Atletico Grau
1-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.22) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.46% Total : 28.67%	1-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.45%	0-1 @ 14.28% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.31% Total : 41.86%