Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 5, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Arsenio Erico

Sportivo
2 - 0
Ameliano

de Jesus Vera Britez (47', 47'), Ayala (86', 86')
Benitez (49'), Benitez (49'), Benitez (53'), Benitez (53'), Rodriguez (78'), Rodriguez (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Salazar (19'), Salazar (19'), Samudio (30'), Samudio (30'), Valdez (53'), Valdez (53'), Benitez (63'), Benitez (63')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Sportivo Luqueno and Sportivo Ameliano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sportivo Luqueno

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Last Game: Racing 3-0 Sportivo
Wednesday, May 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Sportivo Ameliano

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Last Game: Ameliano 0-0 Libertad (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sportivo Ameliano win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sportivo Ameliano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Sportivo Luqueno win was 1-0 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Sportivo LuquenoDrawSportivo Ameliano
29.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.2% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)42.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 45.63% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.2% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)80.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Sportivo Luqueno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.37% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)36.63% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58% (-0.004999999999999 -0)73.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Sportivo Ameliano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.37% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)63.63%
Score Analysis
    Sportivo Luqueno 29.24%
    Sportivo Ameliano 42.55%
    Draw 28.2%
Sportivo LuquenoDrawSportivo Ameliano
1-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 6.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 1.73%
3-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 29.24%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 10.25%
2-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 13.05%
1-2 @ 8.35%
0-2 @ 8.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.54%
0-3 @ 3.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.78%
1-4 @ 1.13%
0-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 42.55%