British Virgin I.

1 - 3

Saint Kitts

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 12.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-0 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.