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World Cup

Dominican Republic national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 12, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Panamericano, San Cristobal
British Virgin Islands national football team

Dominican Rep.
4 - 0
British Virgin I.

Leonardo Nunez Mata (2', 2', 31', 31'), Romero (14' pen., 14' pen., 90+2', 90+2')
FT(HT: 6-0)
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Dominican Republic and British Virgin Islands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dominican Republic

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Jamaica 1-0 Dominican Rep.
Thursday, June 6 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

British Virgin Islands

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: British Virgin I. 0-3 Guatemala
Saturday, June 8 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 82.91%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 5.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 4-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.19%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-2 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.

Result
Dominican RepublicDrawBritish Virgin Islands
82.91% (0.28100000000001 0.28)11.17% (-0.09 -0.09)5.91% (-0.193 -0.19)
Both teams to score 48.85% (-0.979 -0.98)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.05% (-0.497 -0.5)27.95% (0.496 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.32% (-0.621 -0.62)48.68% (0.619 0.62)
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.09% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)4.91% (0.0441 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.3% (-0.136 -0.14)19.7% (0.134 0.13)
British Virgin Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.37% (-1.005 -1.01)48.62% (1.003 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.31% (-0.733 -0.73)83.68% (0.732 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Dominican Republic 82.91%
    British Virgin Islands 5.91%
    Draw 11.17%
Dominican RepublicDrawBritish Virgin Islands
3-0 @ 10.89% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.26 0.26)
4-0 @ 8.21% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 7.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.19% (0.192 0.19)
4-1 @ 5.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 4.95% (0.073 0.07)
5-1 @ 3.57% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.104 -0.1)
6-0 @ 2.49% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.13% (-0.085 -0.09)
6-1 @ 1.79% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.29% (-0.055 -0.06)
7-0 @ 1.07% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 82.91%
1-1 @ 5.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.82% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-0 @ 2.39% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 11.17%
1-2 @ 1.87% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-1 @ 1.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 5.91%