Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 76.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 8.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.08%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Bahamas win it was 0-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.