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World Cup

Saint Kitts and Nevis national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 9pm UK
Warner Park Football Stadium
Bahamas national football team

Saint Kitts
1 - 0
Bahamas

Briston (12')
Lewis (52'), Maynard (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Tilo (41'), Cheetham (86')
Tilo (44')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Saint Kitts and Nevis and Bahamas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Costa Rica 4-0 Saint Kitts
Friday, June 7 at 3.30am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Bahamas

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bahamas 1-7 Trin. & Tob.
Saturday, June 8 at 10.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 76.56%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Bahamas had a probability of 8.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.08%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Bahamas win it was 0-1 (2.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Kitts and Nevis would win this match.

Result
Saint Kitts and NevisDrawBahamas
76.56% (0.44800000000001 0.45)14.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)8.76% (-0.456 -0.46)
Both teams to score 49.59% (-2.226 -2.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.27% (-1.73 -1.73)34.73% (1.732 1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.31% (-1.966 -1.97)56.68% (1.968 1.97)
Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.52% (-0.297 -0.3)7.48% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.13% (-0.782 -0.78)26.86% (0.783 0.78)
Bahamas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.59% (-2.225 -2.23)46.4% (2.228 2.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.97% (-1.761 -1.76)82.03% (1.764 1.76)
Score Analysis
    Saint Kitts and Nevis 76.55%
    Bahamas 8.76%
    Draw 14.68%
Saint Kitts and NevisDrawBahamas
2-0 @ 11.66% (0.66 0.66)
3-0 @ 10.08% (0.42 0.42)
1-0 @ 9% (0.645 0.65)
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.74% (-0.148 -0.15)
4-0 @ 6.54% (0.178 0.18)
4-1 @ 5.02% (-0.177 -0.18)
5-0 @ 3.39% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.251 -0.25)
5-1 @ 2.6% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.196 -0.2)
6-0 @ 1.47% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.13% (-0.076 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 76.55%
1-1 @ 6.91% (0.085 0.09)
0-0 @ 3.47% (0.299 0.3)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.232 -0.23)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 14.68%
0-1 @ 2.66% (0.073 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.65% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 1.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 8.76%

Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 11pm
First Round
Bahamas
0-4
Saint Kitts

Butler (51')
Freeman (25')