Saint Kitts and Nevis national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League C
Sep 10, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Truman Bodden Sports Complex
British Virgin Islands national football team

Saint Kitts
2 - 0
British Virgin I.

Williams (11', 64')
Mitchum (31'), Hanley (44'), Lewis (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Marshall (86')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League C clash between Saint Kitts and Nevis and British Virgin Islands.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint Kitts and Nevis

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Cayman Islands 1-4 Saint Kitts
Saturday, September 7 at 9.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

British Virgin Islands

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: British Virgin I. 0-1 Cayman Islands
Wednesday, September 4 at 9.30pm in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 69.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 13.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Saint Kitts and Nevis in this match.

Result
Saint Kitts and NevisDrawBritish Virgin Islands
69.47% (-0.139 -0.14)17.47% (0.023 0.02)13.05% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 55.15% (0.28 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.43% (0.188 0.19)35.57% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.38% (0.208 0.21)57.62% (-0.206 -0.21)
Saint Kitts and Nevis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.77% (0.016999999999996 0.02)9.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.79% (0.042000000000002 0.04)31.21% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
British Virgin Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.76% (0.298 0.3)39.24% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.05% (0.277 0.28)75.95% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Saint Kitts and Nevis 69.47%
    British Virgin Islands 13.05%
    Draw 17.47%
Saint Kitts and NevisDrawBritish Virgin Islands
2-0 @ 10.28% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8.17% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.64% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.87% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.55% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 2.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.17% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.021 0.02)
5-2 @ 1.02% (0.011 0.01)
6-0 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 69.47%
1-1 @ 8.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.62% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.47%
1-2 @ 3.78% (0.028 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.39% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.58% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.18% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 13.05%