Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Kitts and Nevis win with a probability of 69.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 13.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Kitts and Nevis win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.07%), while for a British Virgin Islands win it was 1-2 (3.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Saint Kitts and Nevis in this match.
-0.14) 
0.02) 
