Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cayman Islands win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for British Virgin Islands had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cayman Islands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest British Virgin Islands win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cayman Islands would win this match.