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Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Stuttgart

Union Berlin
4 - 4
Stuttgart

Ilic (5', 45+6'), Leite (19'), Querfeld (38')
FT(HT: 4-4)
Undav (23'), Millot (29'), Chabot (43'), Fuhrich (45+1')
Chabot (18'), Hendriks (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, April 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 52.08%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 24.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.55%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawStuttgart
24.57% (-0.939 -0.94)23.35% (-0.087 -0.09)52.08% (1.032 1.03)
Both teams to score 56.69% (-0.7 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.93% (-0.469 -0.47)44.07% (0.474 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.55% (-0.459 -0.46)66.45% (0.465 0.47)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (-1.01 -1.01)31.74% (1.017 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (-1.178 -1.18)68.17% (1.185 1.19)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06% (0.20700000000001 0.21)16.94% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.98% (0.363 0.36)47.02% (-0.356 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 24.57%
    Stuttgart 52.08%
    Draw 23.35%
Union BerlinDrawStuttgart
2-1 @ 6.29% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-0 @ 6.17% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.54% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.4% (-0.14 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 24.57%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.11 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.35%
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.06 0.06)
0-1 @ 9.55% (0.258 0.26)
0-2 @ 8.48% (0.284 0.28)
1-3 @ 5.76% (0.073 0.07)
0-3 @ 5.02% (0.2 0.2)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.56% (0.05 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.23% (0.103 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.91% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 52.08%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Stuttgart

Union Berlin
58.5%
Draw
24.4%
Stuttgart
17.1%
82
Head to Head
Dec 6, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 13
Stuttgart
3-2
Union Berlin
Woltemade (51', 59'), Karazor (69')
Mittelstadt (34')
Doekhi (37'), Skov (48')
Ronnow (45+3'), Skarke (60'), Leite (90+5'), Svensson (90+4'), Doekhi (90+5'), Vertessen (90+5'), Khedira (90+5')
Mar 8, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
Stuttgart
2-0
Union Berlin
Guirassy (19'), Fuhrich (65')
Vagnomann (83')

Khedira (39'), Tousart (77')
Schafer (69')
Oct 31, 2023 5pm
Second Round
Stuttgart
1-0
Union Berlin
Undav (45')
Stergiou (88'), Ito (90+1')

Tousart (85'), Fischer (86'), Gosens (90+1')
Oct 21, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 8
Union Berlin
0-3
Stuttgart

Haberer (34'), Behrens (49')
Guirassy (16'), Wamangituka (81'), Undav (88')
Rouault (34'), Hoeness (35')
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
3-0
Stuttgart
Becker (51'), Behrens (65'), Haraguchi (68' og.)
rhs 2.0


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