Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 6.30pm
3
4
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Ermedin Demirovic 14' goal
  • Atakan Karazor 27' yellowcard
  • Nick Woltemade 48' goal
  • Finn Jeltsch 51' yellowcard
  • Granit Xhaka 62' goal
  • Nick Woltemade 64' yellowcard
  • goal Jeremie Frimpong 56'
  • goal Piero Hincapie 67'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 74'
  • yellowcard Piero Hincapie 76'
  • goal Angelo Stiller 88' (OG)
  • yellowcard Xabi Alonso 90'+1'
  • goal Patrik Schick 90'+4'

Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 2.30pm
Holstein Kiel 2 - 2 Stuttgart
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Ermedin Demirovic

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen 0 - 2 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

Stuttgart 33.51% (+0.13)
Draw 24.39% (+0.04)
Bayer Leverkusen 42.1% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.35% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.66% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 43.34% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 34.27% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 65.73% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 17.72% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 82.28% (+0.09)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5 74.85% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 25.15% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 40.13% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 59.86% (-0.03)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 79.29% (-0.12)
Under 0.5 20.71% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 46.68% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 53.32% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Stuttgart 33.51%
Draw 24.39%
Bayer Leverkusen 42.1%
Stuttgart
2-1 @ 7.81% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.19% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.96% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 33.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.15% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.21% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.39%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.2% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.46% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.68% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.39% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 42.1%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Nov 1, 2024 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
  • Robert Andrich 30' yellowcard
  • Nordi Mukiele 42' yellowcard
  • Granit Xhaka 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Atakan Karazor 52'
  • yellowcard Enzo Millot 56'
  • yellowcard Anrie Chase 68'
  • yellowcard Angelo Stiller 69'
DFL-Supercup
Aug 17, 2024 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
ET BayArena
  • Victor Boniface 11' goal
  • Martin Terrier 37' redcard
  • Xabi Alonso 43' yellowcard
  • Granit Xhaka 60' yellowcard
  • Edmond Tapsoba 71' yellowcard
  • Victor Boniface 81' yellowcard
  • Florian Wirtz 85' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 86' yellowcard
  • Patrik Schick 88' goal
  • goal Enzo Millot 15'
  • yellowcard Angelo Stiller 44'
  • goal Deniz Undav 63'
  • yellowcard Ermedin Demirovic 71'
  • yellowcard Enzo Millot 78'
  • yellowcard Pascal Stenzel 82'
  • yellowcard Julian Chabot 86'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Apr 27, 2024 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
  • Exequiel Palacios 31' yellowcard
  • Xabi Alonso 32' yellowcard
  • Kossonou Odilon 41' yellowcard
  • Robert Andrich 58' yellowcard
  • Amine Adli 61' goal
  • Xabi Alonso 70' yellowcard
  • Piero Hincapie 83' yellowcard
  • Robert Andrich 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Deniz Undav 41'
  • goal Chris Fuhrich 47'
  • goal Deniz Undav 56'
  • yellowcard Enzo Millot 69'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Mittelstadt 77'
DFB-Pokal
Feb 6, 2024 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT BayArena
  • Robert Andrich 18' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 34' yellowcard
  • Robert Andrich 50' goal
  • Amine Adli 66' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 90' goal
  • goal Waldemar Anton 11'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Mittelstadt 26'
  • goal Chris Fuhrich 58'
Bundesliga Gameweek 14
Dec 10, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mercedes-Benz-Arena
  • Chris Fuhrich 40' goal
  • Atakan Karazor 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kossonou Odilon 6'
  • goal Florian Wirtz 47'
Bundesliga Gameweek 32
May 14, 2023 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Serhou Guirassy 57' goal
  • goal Exequiel Palacios 70'