Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 56.84%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Dender had a probability of 21.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Dender win it was 1-2 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Mechelen in this match.

Result
Mechelen	Draw	Dender
56.84% ( -0.21)	21.72% ( 0.14)	21.44% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 58.21% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.82% (

-0.57)

40.18% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.45% (

-0.58)

62.55% (

0.59)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.02% (

-0.25)

13.98% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.52% (

-0.5)

41.48% (

0.5)

Dender Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.67% (

-0.26)

32.32% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.17% (

-0.29)

68.83% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Mechelen 56.84%

Dender 21.44%

Draw 21.72%

Mechelen	Draw	Dender
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.27% Total : 56.84%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.72%	1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 21.44%