Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 51.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Dender had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Dender win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leuven would win this match.

Result
Leuven	Draw	Dender
51.93% ( -0.12)	24.75% ( 0.06)	23.31% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 50.81% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.82% (

-0.16)

51.18% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.98% (

-0.14)

73.02% (

0.14)

Leuven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.31% (

-0.11)

19.69% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.31% (

-0.18)

51.69% (

0.18)

Dender Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.26% (

-0.02)

36.73% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.48% (

-0.02)

73.52% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Leuven 51.93%

Dender 23.31%

Draw 24.75%

Leuven	Draw	Dender
1-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.93%	1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.75%	0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 23.31%