Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Dender had a probability of 22.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Dender win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Genk in this match.

Result
Dender	Draw	Genk
22.26% ( 0.07)	23.05% ( 0.02)	54.68% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 54.87% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.84% (

-0.01)

45.15% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.5% (

-0.01)

67.5% (

0.01)

Dender Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.64% (

0.06)

34.36% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.93% (

0.06)

71.06% (

-0.06)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.59% (

-0.04)

16.4% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.94% (

-0.07)

46.06% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Dender 22.26%

Genk 54.67%

Draw 23.05%

Dender	Draw	Genk
1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 22.26%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.05%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.17% 1-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 54.67%