Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Dender had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Dender win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Genk in this match.