Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 28
Feb 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Genk

Charleroi
1 - 1
Genk

Heymans (89' pen.)
Guiagon (30'), Zorgane (74'), Mbenza (90+13')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Arokodare (71')
Smets (27')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Charleroi and Genk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charleroi

All competitions
Last Game: Westerlo 1-3 Charleroi
Saturday, February 22 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

Genk

All competitions
Last Game: Genk 0-0 Gent
Sunday, February 23 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.56%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
CharleroiDrawGenk
37.47% (0.037999999999997 0.04)24.35% (0.059000000000001 0.06)38.18% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 60.16% (-0.224 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.43% (-0.294 -0.29)42.57% (0.292 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.03% (-0.291 -0.29)64.97% (0.291 0.29)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (-0.111 -0.11)22.62% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.76% (-0.167 -0.17)56.24% (0.166 0.17)
Genk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74% (-0.18100000000001 -0.18)22.26% (0.179 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.3% (-0.27 -0.27)55.7% (0.269 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Charleroi 37.47%
    Genk 38.18%
    Draw 24.35%
CharleroiDrawGenk
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.48% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 5.56% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.76% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 37.47%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.065 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.56% (0.058 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.68% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.23% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 38.18%

How you voted: Charleroi vs Genk

Charleroi
20.0%
Draw
35.0%
Genk
45.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Genk
3-0
Charleroi
Arokodare (77'), Steuckers (83'), Adedeji-Sternberg (90')
Sattlberger (46'), Fink (51')

Ousou (54'), Heymans (64'), De Mil (90+1'), Zorgane (90+1')
Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Charleroi
0-1
Genk

Sylla (44'), Ilaimaharitra (78')
Sor (71')
Arokodare (45+1'), El Khannous (90+3')
Aug 20, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Genk
0-0
Charleroi
Apr 23, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 34
Charleroi
2-2
Genk
Mbenza (3'), Nkuba (51')
McKenzie (2'), Samatta (31')
Nov 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Genk
4-1
Charleroi
Onuachu (9' pen., 35', 71', 90+5')
Heymans (66')