Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.48%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.