Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 44.67%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.77%) and 1-3 (5.46%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Genk in this match.