Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 74.46%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 9.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.