Die Gewinner der Gruppe C, Ajax, werden sich bemühen, am Dienstag ihren makellosen Champions-League-Rekord aufrechtzuerhalten, da sie die letzten 16 Qualifikationsspiele Sporting Lisbon in Amsterdam willkommen heißen.
Die beiden nationalen Meister haben bereits die KO-Phase erreicht und treffen sich am letzten Spieltag der Gruppenphase nach dem vernichtenden Sieg der niederländischen Meister in der portugiesischen Hauptstadt wieder.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 6.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-2 (5.72%) and 3-1 (5.53%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.