Euro 2022

Women's European Championship | Semi-Finals

Jul 27, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stadium mk

Germany Women
2 - 1
France Women

Popp (40', 76')
Gwinn (74'), Oberdorf (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Frohms (44' og.)
Toletti (21'), Bacha (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Women's European Championship clash between Germany Women and France Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Germany Women

Last Six:

Last Game: Germany Women 2-0 Austria Women
Thursday, July 21 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Germany Women	3	9	9
2	Spain Women	3	2	6
3	Denmark Women	3	-4	3
4	Finland Women	3	-7	0

France Women

Last Six:

Last Game: France Women 1-0 N'lands Women
Saturday, July 23 at 8pm in Women's European Championship

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France Women	3	5	7
2	Belgium Women	3	0	4
3	Iceland Women	3	0	3
4	Italy Women	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Women win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for France Women had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest France Women win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Germany Women in this match.

Result
Germany Women	Draw	France Women
50.39% ( -0.03)	20.71% ( 0)	28.89% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 70.6% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.38% (

0.02)

27.62% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.73% (

0.03)

48.27% (

-0.02)

Germany Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.36% (

11.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.33% (

-0)

36.67% (

France Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

0.03)

20.1% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.65% (

0.05)

52.35% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Germany Women 50.39%

France Women 28.9%

Draw 20.71%

Germany Women	Draw	France Women
2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.99% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.69% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.44% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 4.02% Total : 50.39%	1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 20.71%	1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.9%